ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.28+0.99%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -58.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 34 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACR — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-03
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Common Stock ATM Program On September 3, 2026, ACRES Commercial Realty Corp., a Maryland corporation (the “ Company ”), entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement (the “ Common Distribution Agreement ”) between the Company and Raymond James & Associates, Inc. (the “ Common Sales Agen t”). Under the terms of the Common Distribution Agreement, the Company may offer and sell up to $50 million of its shares (the “ Common Shares ”) of its common stock…
Why it matters: More loan originations mean more revenue. It shows demand in real estate.
Supportive ifLoan originations go over $500 million in Q3.
Worry ifLoan originations fall below $400 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows how well the loan portfolio is doing. It also shows how good management is.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $21M. This shows the portfolio is still growing.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was under $20M. This suggests the performance is getting weaker.
Why it matters: Details on new debt issuance will clarify the company's financial strategy post-merger. This can impact liquidity and growth plans.
Watch forDetails of debt issuance show favorable terms and low interest rates.
Also watch forDetails show high interest rates or bad terms for the debt.
Why it matters: Active share buybacks can signal confidence in the company's value and help support the stock price. This is important after the merger.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a new share buyback program after August 6, 2026.
Worry ifNo new share buyback announcements following the merger.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $348 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,205 loss on $10,000 · 42.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it may signal a recovery in the real estate sector.
Supportive ifReal estate sector revenue growth is speeding up to about 8% each year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Updates after the merger can show how well the company is doing. Good news can build confidence.
Watch forManagement gives a positive update. They show that integration and growth are going well.
Also watch forManagement mentions issues or delays with the merger integration. This could be a concern.
Why it matters: Growth in the loan portfolio shows strong demand and good management.
Supportive ifThe loan portfolio grows by more than $500 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifThe loan portfolio shrinks or grows less than $300 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Ongoing buybacks can show management's trust in the company's value. This can help share prices.
Supportive ifNews of new share buyback plans or finishing current buybacks.
Worry ifNo new buyback news or stopping planned buybacks.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it may signal a positive shift in the market. This could help improve investor confidence in ACR's performance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth returns to levels above 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well ACR is performing in a tough market.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Completing the merger could help shareholders and make operations more stable. Investors care about how the merger will affect future growth.
Supportive ifManagement says the merger with ACRES Capital Corp. is now complete.
Worry ifThere are reports of more delays or the merger being canceled.
Why it matters: Clear guidance on EAD yields will show how well the merger is enhancing profitability. This is key for future growth.
Watch forManagement confirms EAD yields are between 8% and 15% in the next earnings call.
Also watch forManagement lowers EAD yield guidance to below 8%.