Agree Realty (ADC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$70.46+0.71%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ADC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ADC — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-22
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On September 22, 2026, Agree Limited Partnership (the “Issuer”), a Delaware limited partnership and subsidiary of Agree Realty Corporation, a Maryland corporation (the “Parent Guarantor”), completed an underwritten public offering of $400 million aggregate principal amount of its 5.650% Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The Notes are fully and unconditionally guaranteed (the “Guarant…
Why it matters: The company has 13 projects slated for delivery in Q1 through Q3 2027. On-time delivery would confirm progress on its building plans.
Supportive ifProjects listed for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2027 are completed in their stated quarters.
Worry ifOne or more listed projects miss their stated delivery quarter.
Why it matters: AFFO per share rose 4.9% in Q3. Meeting the raised full-year range would support the company's earnings growth record.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per share is at least $4.58.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per share is below $4.58.
Why it matters: The company reported that 99.8% of its portfolio was leased. A high rate would show that its properties keep their tenants.
Supportive ifThe next reported portfolio occupancy rate is at least 99.8%.
Worry ifThe next reported rate of occupied portfolio space is below 99.8%.
Why it matters: The October dividend rose to $0.271 per share. A continued rise would support the company's record of growing its monthly payout.
Supportive ifA later monthly dividend is at least $0.271 per common share.
Worry ifA later monthly dividend is below $0.271 per common share.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$64 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,100 loss on $10,000 · 21.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.