Addus HomeCare Corp. (ADUS)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$118.76+0.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ADUS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $119 ADUS trades at 18× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median, but our blended $118 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $92–$134. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $96.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $92.14 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $323.28 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $95.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$92.00 – $134.00 (median $96.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-05
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 5% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 2.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.60/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $107.87 |
| 12.7 |
| 8.41 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $176.82 | 21.3 | 8.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $138.09 | 18.7 | 7.37 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $303.55 | 3.8 | 79.93 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $169.06 | 26.0 | 6.51 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $69.16 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $118.07 | 18.1 | 6.51 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $155.73 | 22.9 | 6.80 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $268.92 | 21.3 | 12.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $156.64 | 18.7 | 8.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $365.33 | 3.8 | 96.19 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $217.01 | 26.0 | 8.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $151.56 | 18.1 | 8.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $355.65 | 21.3 | 16.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $176.71 | 18.7 | 9.43 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $412.13 | 3.8 | 108.52 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $244.81 | 26.0 | 9.43 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $170.97 | 18.1 | 9.43 | Analyst | high |