Advanced Energy (AEIS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$280.90+2.41%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEIS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $281 AEIS trades at 35× p/e, below its 47× p/e peer median, but our blended $242 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well below the analyst range. Analysts target $400–$535. Note: our $242 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($400–$535). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $321 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $439.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $45.61 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $78.96 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $190.15 | 34.8 | 4.62 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$400.00 – $535.00 (median $439.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-08-04
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 558% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 8.1 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $3.26/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $96.77 |
| 47.2 |
| 2.05 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $716.31 | 47.2 | 15.19 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $221.28 | 4.6 | 48.17 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $200.35 | 13.2 | 15.19 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $50.74 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $401.52 | 47.2 | 8.51 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $69.12 | 47.2 | 1.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $947.32 | 47.2 | 20.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $417.26 | 4.6 | 90.84 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $264.96 | 13.2 | 20.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $55.24 | 47.2 | 1.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1252.83 | 47.2 | 26.57 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $551.82 | 4.6 | 120.14 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $350.41 | 13.2 | 26.57 | Analyst | medium |