Advanced Energy (AEIS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$280.90+2.41%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 34.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AEIS — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-12
Other Events. On June 12, 2026, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. issued a press release announcing that it had issued a notice of redemption to redeem on September 23, 2026, all $136,709,000 of its remaining outstanding 2.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: If they redeem the notes, it will lower debt. This will help with finances.
Supportive ifThe redemption went smoothly. There were no problems.
Worry ifRedemption fails or is delayed beyond the scheduled date.
Why it matters: High operating income shows good cost management and strong demand for products.
Supportive ifOperating income was more than $95 million.
Worry ifOperating income was less than $90 million.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is running well. It also means better finances.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Closing on May 18, 2026, will provide funds for growth and debt management. It could affect stock dilution.
Supportive ifThey closed the offering successfully. Proceeds were over $980 million.
Worry ifFailure to close the offering or proceeds falling short of expectations.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$339 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $617 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,510 loss on $10,000 · 35.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better gross margins mean improved cost management. This also shows stronger pricing power and profits.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin reported above 41.1%.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin reported below 39.3%.
Why it matters: Changes in dividend payments can show how well a company is doing. Investors should watch this for future cash flow.
Worry ifThe company will keep or raise its quarterly dividend payments.
Less concerning ifThe company cuts or stops its quarterly dividend payments.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding guidance would show continued strong demand and growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported at $540 million or higher.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $520 million.
Why it matters: Completing the notes redemption shows good money management. It also lowers debt.
Supportive ifAll $136.7 million of convertible notes have been redeemed.
Worry ifRedemption is delayed or not completed as planned.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding guidance shows strong demand and growth momentum. It confirms management's confidence in continued growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $640 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $620 million.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps growth plans. It shows the company is doing well financially.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations reported at $80 million or higher.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is below $70 million.