American Electric Power (AEP)
NASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
$137.53+1.14%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
Reading AEP? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track AEP free→NASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
Reading AEP? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track AEP free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AEP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $137.53. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $138 AEP trades at 2.3× p/b, below its 2.3× p/b peer median, but our blended $116 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $129–$145. Note: our $116 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($129–$145). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $148 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
$129.00 – $145.00 (median $138.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-05-21
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $138.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $62.71 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $90.66 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $153.95 | 24.4 | 6.30 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $140.31 | 2.3 | 60.28 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $148.09 | 24.4 | 6.06 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $125.98 | 3.1 | 41.01 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $175.94 | 29.0 | 6.06 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $63.64 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $112.72 | 18.6 | 6.06 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $150.03 | 24.4 | 6.14 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $197.85 | 24.4 | 8.10 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $193.05 | 2.3 | 82.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $187.78 | 24.4 | 7.68 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $156.94 | 3.1 | 51.09 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $223.09 | 29.0 | 7.68 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $142.93 | 18.6 | 7.68 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $233.86 | 24.4 | 9.57 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $238.82 | 2.3 | 102.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $216.73 | 24.4 | 8.87 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $181.14 | 3.1 | 58.96 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $257.49 | 29.0 | 8.87 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $164.97 | 18.6 | 8.87 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.