Reading AFG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $134.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $138.40 | 12.6 | 11.00 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $82.93 | 1.5 | 56.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $203.90 | 11.2 | 18.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $137.77 | 12.6 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $276.40 |
| 2.9 |
| 95.10 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $96.06 | 8.8 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $132.46 | 12.1 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $139.87 | 12.6 | 11.12 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $166.98 | 12.6 | 13.27 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $97.15 | 1.5 | 65.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $321.68 | 11.2 | 28.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $166.22 | 12.6 | 13.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $257.34 | 2.9 | 88.55 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $115.89 | 8.8 | 13.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $159.81 | 12.1 | 13.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $189.24 | 12.6 | 15.04 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $107.97 | 1.5 | 73.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $435.96 | 11.2 | 38.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $188.38 | 12.6 | 14.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $245.38 | 2.9 | 84.43 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $131.34 | 8.8 | 14.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $181.12 | 12.1 | 14.97 | Analyst | medium |