Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$227.78+0.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $228 AGM trades at 1.3× p/b, below its 1.6× p/b peer median, but our blended $201 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcff | 12M | $310.36 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $26.34 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $264.46 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $265.96 | 1.6 | 170.41 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $126.55 |
| 4.4 |
| 28.49 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $165.06 | 9.0 | 18.24 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $217.90 | 1.4 | 156.04 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $187.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $210.17 | 11.5 | 18.24 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $166.28 | 9.0 | 18.38 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $366.27 | 1.6 | 234.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $84.76 | 4.4 | 19.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $308.59 | 9.0 | 34.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $330.17 | 1.4 | 236.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $392.92 | 11.5 | 34.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $453.37 | 1.6 | 290.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $64.88 | 4.4 | 14.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $407.10 | 9.0 | 44.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $435.58 | 1.4 | 311.92 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $518.36 | 11.5 | 44.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |