AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.65-0.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGNC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $11 AGNC trades at 7.6× p/e, below its 9.7× p/e peer median, but our blended $11 fair value is roughly in line with the price. We hold it with medium confidence: this sector is better valued on book value or cash flow than the earnings/sales multiple shown here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $7.07 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $26.87 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $18.51 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $6.20 | 8.1 | 0.76 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $5.94 |
| 1.8 |
| 3.37 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $3.34 | 2.4 | 1.41 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $12.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $10.65 | 7.6 | 1.41 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $13.54 | 9.7 | 1.39 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $9.43 | 8.1 | 1.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $7.86 | 1.8 | 4.45 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $3.85 | 2.4 | 1.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $12.27 | 7.6 | 1.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $12.47 | 8.1 | 1.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $9.42 | 1.8 | 5.33 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $4.23 | 2.4 | 1.78 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $13.49 | 7.6 | 1.78 | Analyst | high |