eXp World Holdings, Inc. (AGNT)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.91-8.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 296.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 289.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
AGNT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-08
CEO — Glenn Sanford: The filing describes a planned leadership succession where the founder/CEO transitions to Chairman while an internal successor is appointed, which is an orderly transition rather than a sudden loss of executive leadership.
Why it matters: Revenue rose 11% year over year in Q2. Q3 results will test whether that growth continues.
Watch forQ3 revenue is at least $1.35B, within the company’s $1.35B–$1.45B outlook.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $1.35B, the bottom of the company’s outlook.
Why it matters: More agents and transactions can support revenue growth. Agent count rose 6% and transactions rose 12% in Q2.
Supportive ifQ3 agent count and real estate transactions both exceed their year-ago levels.
Worry ifQ3 agent count or transactions fall below the year-ago level.
Why it matters: AGNT narrowed its full-year adjusted EBITDA range to $50M–$60M. Q3 results will show whether earnings are tracking that plan.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $17M, within the company’s $17M–$22M outlook.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $17M, the bottom of the company’s outlook.
Why it matters: Pareja became AGNT CEO on October 8. The November 5 earnings report is the first listed test of the change under his leadership.
Watch forAt the November 5 report, AGNT meets or raises its Q3 outlook and reports no business disruption.
Also watch forAt the November 5 report, AGNT misses its Q3 outlook or reports disruption tied to the leadership change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$279 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $534 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,972 loss on $10,000 · 69.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: AGNT says agent satisfaction matters to its platform. Its global agent score fell from 77 to 69 year over year in Q2.
Supportive ifThe next reported global agent score rises above 69.
Worry ifThe next reported global agent score falls below 69.