eXp World Holdings, Inc. (AGNT)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.03-0.25%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 290.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 284.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AGNT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Conditions. On August 4, 2026, AGNT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject…
Why it matters: This shows progress toward the $50-$75 million adjusted EBITDA goal for 2026.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 is positive. This shows recovery.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is still negative. This shows ongoing problems with making money.
Why it matters: A drop in aNPS may mean lower agent satisfaction. This can affect retention.
Worry ifaNPS reported below 69.
Less concerning ifaNPS remains stable or increases above 77.
Why it matters: Good integration could improve AGNT's platform and help it grow.
Supportive ifManagement shares good news on NextHome integration that helps growth.
Worry ifProblems or delays in integration may hurt growth.
Why it matters: A revenue miss would show problems in keeping growth after a strong Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance comes in below $1.35 billion.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue guidance meets or exceeds the $1.45 billion upper range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$291 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $490 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,696 loss on $10,000 · 67.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Falling adjusted EBITDA would show trouble in making more money even with growth.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 was below $17 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 was above $22 million.