American Healthcare REIT (AHR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$56.04-0.59%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
AHR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-02
CFO — Brian S. Peay: The CFO is retiring with a named successor (Aric Chang) already appointed and a transition plan in place, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: AHR said it aimed to close its pipeline deals by year-end, but those deals were not in its 2026 guidance.
Supportive ifAHR reports closing pipeline deals by December 31, 2026, and names the assets and total purchase value.
Worry ifAHR says the deals did not close by year-end, or reports cancellations that leave most deals unclosed.
Why it matters: AHR declared $0.25 per share for each of the first three 2026 quarters. A cut would break that pattern.
Worry ifAHR sets a quarterly payment below $0.25 per share.
Less concerning ifAHR declares a distribution of $0.25 per share or more for the next quarter.
Why it matters: Q2 NFFO was $0.54 per share. The 2026 goal is $2.15 to $2.19 per share.
Supportive ifQ3 results on November 5 show NFFO per diluted share above $0.54, with 2026 guidance still at $2.15 to $2.19 or higher.
Worry ifQ3 NFFO per diluted share is below $0.54, or management cuts the 2026 range below $2.15 to $2.19.
Why it matters: AHR raised its 2026 same-store NOI goal to 11% to 13%. Q2 growth was 13.2%.
Worry ifQ3 total portfolio same-store NOI growth is below 11% year over year, or the company cuts its 2026 range below 11% to 13%.
Less concerning ifQ3 total portfolio same-store NOI growth is at least 11%, and the 2026 range stays at 11% to 13% or rises.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $280 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,447 loss on $10,000 · 14.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: AHR announced the first six of an eight-community senior housing deal. Closing the last two would complete the announced purchase.
Supportive ifAHR says it closed the last two Kensington communities. This completes the purchase of all eight communities.
Worry ifAHR reports that the remaining two communities will not close, or gives no closing update by year-end 2026.