American Healthcare REIT (AHR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AHR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 17.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AHR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-02
CFO — Brian S. Peay: The CFO is retiring with a named successor (Aric Chang) already appointed and a transition plan in place, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: A lower dividend may show financial trouble. This can hurt how investors feel.
Worry ifQuarterly dividend is less than $0.25.
Less concerning ifQuarterly dividend is $0.25 or higher.
Why it matters: A strong acquisition pipeline shows good growth potential. This can improve the company's market position.
Supportive ifThe acquisition plans are over $1 billion.
Worry ifThe acquisition plans are below $800 million.
Why it matters: Maintaining the dividend is crucial for investor confidence. A cut could signal financial distress.
Worry ifThe company declares a dividend of less than $0.25 per share for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifThe company maintains or increases the dividend at $0.25 per share or more for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: New acquisitions would show strong growth in the SHOP segment. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe company announces acquisitions that add up to more than $650 million.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions are announced. Total acquisitions are less than $650 million.
Why it matters: Big acquisitions may show growth in the SHOP segment. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThere is news of acquisitions worth over $100 million in the SHOP segment.
Worry ifNo big acquisitions have been announced in the SHOP segment.
Why it matters: If Same-Store NOI growth guidance goes up, it shows strong performance. This could help investors trust the company's growth.
Supportive ifManagement now expects Same-Store NOI growth to be over 13.0% for 2026.
Worry ifManagement keeps Same-Store NOI growth guidance at or below 11.0% for 2026.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it may show weaker performance in the portfolio.
Worry ifQ3 Same-Store NOI growth reported below 11.0%.
Less concerning ifQ3 Same-Store NOI growth meets or exceeds 13.0%.
Why it matters: Guidance below this level means slower earnings growth. It also brings more operational problems.
Worry ifNFFO per diluted share guidance reported below $2.15.
Less concerning ifNFFO per diluted share guidance meets or exceeds $2.19.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $275 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,363 loss on $10,000 · 13.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.