AH Realty Trust, Inc. (AHRT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.61+1.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AHRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -13.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AHRT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 4, 2026 , AH Realty Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial position as of March 31, 2026, results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and other related information. Also on May 4, 2026 , the Company made available on its website at ir.ahrealtytrust.com/financials/quarterly-results certain supplemental information concerning the Company’s financial results and operations for the thre…
Why it matters: Higher retail NOI growth shows strong demand and good efficiency in retail.
Supportive ifRetail same-store NOI growth is above 3.5% for the next quarter.
Worry ifRetail same-store NOI growth is below 2.5% for the next quarter.
Why it matters: Selling two multifamily properties shows management wants to lower debt. It also shows they want to make things simpler.
Supportive ifBoth multifamily properties sold for at least $77 million. This confirms the exit plan.
Worry ifThe sale of the last multifamily properties is delayed or fails.
Why it matters: Occupancy rates affect revenue. They also show how healthy the retail and office markets are.
Watch forRetail occupancy rates go up to over 94.8%. Office occupancy rates go up to over 96.0%.
Also watch forOccupancy rates drop or stay the same. This shows possible problems in leasing.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal shows a strong commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company says it has completed $100 million in buying back shares.
Worry ifThe company stops or slows down buying back shares.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$74 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $192 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,981 loss on $10,000 · 39.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A rebound in revenue growth could signal a positive shift for AHRT. It would help improve its performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows an increase back toward previous highs.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down or stays the same.
Why it matters: More guidance shows the portfolio is strong and management is doing well.
Supportive ifManagement raises the full-year 2026 FFO, As Adjusted guidance to over $0.57 per share.
Worry ifGuidance remains at or below the current range of $0.53 to $0.57 per diluted share.