Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.14+1.29%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AHT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 76.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AHT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-11
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On May 11, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and Exhibits attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing u…
Why it matters: Management wants to improve cash flow by selling assets. Completed sales show progress.
Supportive ifThey will complete more asset sales worth over $50 million after July 2026.
Worry ifNo further asset sales are completed by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: More asset sales will improve cash flow and help financial stability. Recent sales are good.
Supportive ifNew asset sales have been announced. They total over $50 million in cash.
Worry ifNo new asset sales have been announced. This may lead to cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is running well and can grow.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $30 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash from operations remains below $25 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Improved cash flow from operations signals better financial health. This follows a strong Q1 cash flow.
Supportive ifCash from operations in Q2 is over $29.5 million. This shows continued improvement.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $29.5 million. This shows problems in cash flow.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Ashford's performance and outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 5% in the next quarter.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 5% for another quarter.
Why it matters: Growth in EBITDA means better profits and efficiency. It impacts the company's value.
Supportive ifHotel EBITDA growth is over 5% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifComparable hotel EBITDA growth is less than 2% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Continued asset sales will help improve liquidity and lower debt levels. This is critical for the company's financial health.
Supportive ifThey sold more hotels. This brought in over $50 million in cash.
Worry ifNo new asset sales announced or completed in the next quarter.
Why it matters: RevPAR growth shows the company can earn more money per room. This means better operations.
Supportive ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth above 6% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Refinancing will help manage debt and improve cash flow, which is crucial for ongoing operations.
Supportive ifThey announced refinancing for at least one big loan.
Worry ifNo refinancing news for maturing loans in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $543 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,829 loss on $10,000 · 58.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.