Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.43-7.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AHT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -75.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 70.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AHT — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive
Dated 2026-10-20
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 20, 2026, the Company terminated that certain Equity Distribution Agreement, dated as of April 11, 2022, by and among the Company, Ashford Hospitality Limited Partnership, Ashford Hospitality Advisors LLC, and Virtu Americas LLC as Agent, effective as of the close of business on October 20, 2026. Pursuant to the Equity Distribution Agreement, the Company was permitted, from time to time, sell shares of its Common Stock having an aggre…
Why it matters: The sold hotels had recorded revenue before their sale. The next report can show how much revenue remains in the continuing hotel base.
Worry ifThe next report shows total hotel revenue below $533.6 million. This is the six-month 2026 pro forma figure after the Philadelphia sale.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows total hotel revenue of $533.6 million or more for a comparable six-month period.
Why it matters: Three recent hotel sales brought cash and paid down related loans. More sales could reduce debt, but weak proceeds may limit that gain.
Watch forA new hotel sale brings in cash above the related loan payoff, as in the recent sales.
Also watch forA new sale brings in cash equal to or below its related loan payoff, or no new sale is reported.
Why it matters: A prior loan extension came with a $10 million paydown. New terms could show whether the company can manage loans as they mature.
Supportive ifA filing names a loan extension or refinance and reports a paydown. It reports no missed payment.
Worry ifA filing reports a missed payment, default, or loan maturity with no extension or payoff.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $611 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,271 loss on $10,000 · 62.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.