Albany International Corp. (AIN)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$62.43-0.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AIN — restructuring
Dated 2026-09-01
Regulation FD Disclosure. On September 1, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the termination of the strategic review and providing the updated guidance. A copy of the Press Release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: Growth in this segment would confirm management's focus and strategy in a key market.
Watch forRevenue from Machine Clothing in China shows growth year over year.
Also watch forRevenue from Machine Clothing in China declines year over year.
Why it matters: The CPI report could influence market conditions and investor sentiment. It may affect Albany's costs.
Watch forCPI report shows inflation is easing. This is good for market conditions.
Also watch forCPI report shows inflation is rising. This is bad for market conditions.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide a clear picture of financial health. Positive results can boost stock confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings report shows revenue above $330M and EPS above $0.70.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report shows revenue below $320M and EPS below $0.60.
Why it matters: Earnings results can support management's growth story. This can change stock sentiment.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 earnings beat what analysts expected. This shows a good trend.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings did not meet analyst expectations. This raises concerns about growth.
Why it matters: This amendment is key for cash flow starting in 2027 and reduces program risk.
Supportive ifA press release confirming the contract amendment is finalized and cash flow starts as planned.
Worry ifLook for any delays or problems with the contract changes or cash flow.
Why it matters: Hitting or beating this EPS target shows strong performance and growth.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EPS reported at or above $1.40.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS was below $1.40, which shows weaker performance.
Why it matters: New contracts can boost growth and show management's focus on defense.
Supportive ifA press release announced new defense contracts with key customers.
Worry ifNo new contracts were announced in the next quarter, which may mean stagnation.
Why it matters: Stable revenue guidance shows steady performance and belief in future growth.
Watch forQ4 net revenue guidance is between $325 million and $335 million.
Also watch forQ4 revenue guidance revised down from the current range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $323 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,354 loss on $10,000 · 33.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.