Albany International Corp. (AIN)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$67.03-6.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AIN — restructuring
Dated 2026-09-01
Regulation FD Disclosure. On September 1, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the termination of the strategic review and providing the updated guidance. A copy of the Press Release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: The extension keeps a key Salt Lake City program in place. Continued work would support the case for keeping the site open.
Supportive ifAlbany reports that Boeing 787 frame production continues under the extended contract. There is no cancellation or cut in scope.
Worry ifAlbany reports that Boeing 787 frame work ends early or that the contract scope is cut.
Why it matters: The new Sikorsky contract is meant to cut program risk and reverse past losses. Positive cash flow would show the new terms are working.
Supportive ifAlbany reports positive CH-53K cash flow in 2027 and no new forward-loss charge on the program.
Worry ifAlbany reports negative CH-53K cash flow or records a new forward-loss charge.
Why it matters: Management named Machine Clothing growth as a priority. Reaching the Q4 range would show progress on that goal.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 Machine Clothing revenue is at least $170 million.
Worry ifQ4 2026 Machine Clothing revenue is below $170 million.
Why it matters: The Q4 range follows a large increase to Q3 adjusted EPS guidance. A result above the Q4 range would show that gains carried forward.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is above $0.75.
Worry ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is below $0.65.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $317 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,878 loss on $10,000 · 28.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.