reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)
NASDAQReal EstateSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.38-7.31%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
AIRE — litigation filed
Dated 2026-11-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 3, 2026, reAlpha Tech Corp. (the “Company”) commenced a best efforts public offering (the “Offering”) of (i) 1,361,028 shares (the “Shares”) of its common stock, par value $0.001 per share (“Common Stock”), and (ii) pre-funded warrants to purchase up to an aggregate of 3,013,972 shares of Common Stock (the “Warrants,” and the shares of Common Stock issuable upon exercise thereof, the “Warrant Shares”) in lieu of Shares. Each Share was so…
Why it matters: Q2 losses narrowed as costs fell after staff and vendor cuts. Another improvement would show those savings are reaching results.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss is $2.3 million or less, and operating costs stay below last year's level.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA loss is more than $2.3 million, or operating costs rise from last year.
Why it matters: Transaction volume rose 70% over the past year, while revenue fell. More volume can show whether platform activity is growing.
Supportive ifTrailing 12-month transaction volume is above $150.4 million in the next results release.
Worry ifTrailing 12-month transaction volume is at or below $150.4 million in the next results release.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell 11% year over year. Growth in Q3 would show whether the larger mortgage business adds sales.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $1.1 million, the Q2 2026 level, and rises year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $1.1 million or declines year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$361 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,225 loss on $10,000 · 12.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,730 loss on $10,000 · 97.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.