Airgain Inc (AIRG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.250.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -51.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 21.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AIRG — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Airgain, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. In accordance with General Instructions B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), or…
Why it matters: The CTO change could affect product development and strategy. Investors need to assess its impact.
Watch forManagement gives a positive update on product plans after the CTO change.
Also watch forManagement says product development is delayed. This is because of the CTO change.
Why it matters: The departure of the CTO may impact product development and strategy. This could affect investor confidence.
Worry ifAnnouncement of a new CTO with a strong background in technology.
Less concerning ifNo new CTO was appointed. This leads to uncertainty in leadership.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Airgain can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forEarnings show a revenue increase compared to the previous quarter.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a revenue decline compared to the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows better profits and efficiency. It shows management cares about costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was at least $0.7 million for Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $0.4 million for Q3.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision can change market conditions. This affects investor sentiment and Airgain's performance.
Watch forThe FOMC decision creates good market conditions. This boosts investor confidence.
Also watch forThe FOMC decision causes negative market reactions. This impacts Airgain's stock price.
Why it matters: Finishing the $4 million IoT order shows Airgain can execute and that people want their solutions.
Supportive ifShipment of the $4 million IoT order is completed as planned.
Worry ifShipments are delayed beyond the expected timeline.
Why it matters: If sector growth slows, it may hurt Airgain's performance. This could signal deeper issues in the market.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median growth rate.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median growth rate.
Why it matters: New design wins show growth potential and market support for Airgain's products.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new design win in IoT or automotive.
Worry ifNo new design wins announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows growth in IoT and car markets.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $15.25 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $14.25 million.
Why it matters: Staying in this margin range is important for making money as costs rise.
Supportive ifGAAP gross margin reported between 40.8% and 43.8%.
Worry ifGAAP gross margin reported below 40.8%.
Why it matters: Keeping costs low is important for making more money.
Supportive ifGAAP operating costs were $6.8 million.
Worry ifGAAP operating costs were more than $7.0 million.
Why it matters: New design wins signal growth in high-potential markets for Airgain.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of design wins in robotics or drones.
Worry ifNo new design wins announced in these sectors.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $435 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,207 loss on $10,000 · 32.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.