Airgain Inc (AIRG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.99-5.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -63.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 25.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 88.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
AIRG — director transition
Dated 2026-10-01
Director — Stephan D. Memmen: The filing discloses the appointment of a new independent director to expand the board size, which is a routine governance action rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin fell to 42.3% from 43.2% in Q1. A further drop below the Q3 range would show more pressure.
Worry ifQ3 GAAP gross margin is below 40.8%, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ3 GAAP gross margin is at least 40.8% and stays within the guided range.
Why it matters: Management guided to $14.25 million to $16.25 million in Q3 sales. Results test whether growth in IoT modems and vehicle gateways continues.
Supportive ifQ3 sales are at least $14.25 million, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifQ3 sales are below $14.25 million, or management says supply limits cut shipments.
Why it matters: Q2 GAAP operating costs were $7.5 million, above the stated target. The Q3 outlook gives a clear test of whether costs come down.
Worry ifQ3 GAAP operating costs are above $6.8 million. They exceed the company outlook.
Less concerning ifQ3 GAAP operating costs are at or below $6.8 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$169 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $459 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,614 loss on $10,000 · 46.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.