AirJoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.57+2.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRJ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AIRJ — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On May 28, 2026, AirJoule Technologies Corporation (the “ Company ”) entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “ Purchase Agreement ”) with certain institutional investors (the “ Investors ”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell to the Investors, and the Investors agreed to purchase from the Company, through a registered direct offering (the “ Offering ”) subject to and upon the terms and conditions set forth therein, 3,658,536 share…
Why it matters: Burning too much cash could show financial problems. This may affect future funding.
Worry ifCash burn remains at or below $25 million for 2026.
Less concerning ifCash burn exceeds $25 million, raising concerns about financial health.
Why it matters: Getting funding is important to keep operations running until 2028. It affects growth.
Supportive ifNew funding or investment was announced. This will help operations until 2028.
Worry ifNo funding secured raises concerns about operations and may lead to cost cuts.
Why it matters: This launch is key for entering military and home markets. It could boost revenue.
Supportive ifAirJoule Core AWG is launched as planned in Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe launch is postponed or canceled.
Why it matters: Earnings reports show how well a company is doing with money and operations.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth and good updates on operations.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows more losses or bad updates on operations.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit AirJoule. The company operates in a maturing sector with slowing growth.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again. This shows a possible recovery.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is slowing down. This points to ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Updates on performance will show how well the Core DH system works. This affects how the market accepts it.
Watch forThe Core DH system saves 40% more energy than regular desiccant wheels.
Also watch forThe Core DH system does not save enough energy compared to regular systems.
Why it matters: If successful, this will show the Kubota partnership works. It will help homes in dry areas.
Supportive ifTwo AirJoule Core systems will be set up near Corpus Christi, Texas, and Irvine, California, in Q3 2026.
Worry ifIf no systems are set up or if there are delays, it is a bad sign.
Why it matters: Shipping the Prime system will show that the technology is moving forward. It will meet customer needs.
Supportive ifThe first AirJoule Prime system will be sent to Europe in Q3 2026.
Worry ifIf the shipment is late or canceled, it shows problems with production or partnerships.
Why it matters: Successful setups will show the technology works well. This will help grow the market for dehumidification.
Supportive ifInitial customer deployments of Core DH systems begin in Q3 2026.
Worry ifIf no customer setups happen or if there are more delays, it is a bad sign.
Why it matters: Spending more cash could mean more activity in selling products or financial problems.
Worry ifCash spend reported at or below $28 million for 2026.
Less concerning ifIf cash spending goes over $28 million, it may show overspending or problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$369 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $747 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,191 loss on $10,000 · 61.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.