AirJoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.10-12.13%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRJ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers
AIRJ — capital allocation
Dated 2026-09-14
The shares of Class A Common Stock initially issued at closing, and any additional Class A Common Stock to be issued in connection with the payment of Earnout Amounts (maximum amount up to 8,264,463 shares of Class A Common Stock), pursuant to the Subscription Agreement, have not been registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “ Securities Act ”), and were (or will be) offered and sold based on an exemption from registration by Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act. The Comp…
Why it matters: The test can show if Prime turns waste heat into water at a customer site. The company planned this deployment for Q4 2026.
Supportive ifIn Q4 2026, the Europe site starts running Prime. It reports water output near its target of up to 2,000 liters per day, below 200 watt-hours per liter.
Worry ifThe Europe start slips past Q4 2026, or reported output falls short of the stated target.
Why it matters: AIRJ raised its spend plan as it added commercial work. Spending above the new range could weaken its stated cash runway into 2028.
Worry ifAIRJ reports combined 2026 cash spend above $28 million across the company and its joint venture.
Less concerning ifAIRJ reports combined 2026 cash spend of $27 million to $28 million or less, as guided.
Why it matters: Kubota is AIRJ's exclusive sales channel for multi-unit housing in Texas and California. The first sites can show if this channel leads to real use.
Supportive ifBoth Core systems start running at the Corpus Christi and Irvine sites. The sites share public updates on how they run.
Worry ifEither site has no system running by the end of 2026, or AIRJ reports a delay to the planned deployments.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$264 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $750 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,266 loss on $10,000 · 62.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.