AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP (AKA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$10.00-4.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AKA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AKA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instructions B.2 and B.6 of Form 8-K, the information included in Items 2.02 and 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K…
Why it matters: Management kept its 2026 sales range at $625 million to $635 million. Q2 sales fell 0.3%, so the full-year result tests whether growth returns.
Supportive ifReported 2026 net sales are at least $625 million.
Worry ifReported 2026 net sales are below $625 million, or management cuts the sales range.
Why it matters: The planned stores test whether Princess Polly can grow through physical shops. AKA also aims to open up to ten more in 2027.
Supportive ifCompany updates show four new Princess Polly U.S. stores open by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifCompany updates show fewer than four new U.S. stores open by December 31, or the plan is delayed.
Why it matters: AKA gave Q3 sales guidance of $160 million to $164 million. Sales above that range would extend the high-single-digit growth seen quarter to date.
Supportive ifOn November 4, Q3 net sales are reported above $164 million.
Worry ifQ3 net sales are reported below $160 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $534 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,959 loss on $10,000 · 39.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.