Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.29+0.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AKR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 79.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 92.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
AKR — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-12
Other Events. On June 9, 2026, Acadia Realty Trust (the “Company”) and its operating partnership, Acadia Realty Limited Partnership (the “Operating Partnership”), entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with BofA Securities, Inc., Jefferies LLC, Truist Securities, Inc. and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, in their capacity as underwriters and/or forward sellers, as applicable (collectively, the “Underwriters”), and Bank of America, N.A., Jefferies LLC, Truist Bank an…
Why it matters: More acquisitions mean strong growth in key retail areas. This supports long-term value.
Supportive ifIn 2026, total acquisitions are more than $652 million.
Worry ifIn 2026, total acquisitions are less than $503 million.
Why it matters: A cut shows cash flow problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifThey announced a dividend cut to below $0.20 per share.
Less concerning ifDividend maintained at $0.20 per share or increased.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is key for Acadia's ability to fund operations and investments. It shows financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities goes up from $31.4M in Q1 2026.
Worry ifCash from operating activities goes down from $31.4M in Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Higher leasing spreads show strong demand and pricing power for Acadia's properties.
Supportive ifNew leases signed with cash leasing spreads above 30%.
Worry ifNew leases signed with cash leasing spreads below 27%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$77 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $221 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,241 loss on $10,000 · 12.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This growth rate shows how well the company is managing its properties. A drop could signal issues in the retail sector.
Worry ifSame-property NOI growth for Q3 is reported below 8.7%.
Less concerning ifSame-property NOI growth for Q3 is reported at or above 8.7%.
Why it matters: This ratio shows financial health. A rise may mean more debt and risk to operations.
Worry ifDebt-to-EBITDA ratio is over 5.1x in Q3.
Less concerning ifDebt-to-EBITDA ratio remains at or below 5.1x in Q3.
Why it matters: Earnings guidance shows how confident management is. A cut may mean weaker performance.
Worry ifQ3 earnings per share guidance is set below $0.40.
Less concerning ifQ3 earnings per share guidance is set at or above $0.40.
Why it matters: Big acquisitions would help growth. They would back management's plan to grow in key areas.
Supportive ifNews of acquisitions over $200 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo big acquisitions announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: An increase shows Acadia is improving cash flow. This is a key goal for management.
Supportive ifCash from operations was over $35 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $31 million.
Why it matters: Higher occupancy rates show strong demand. This can boost revenue.
Supportive ifOccupancy rates exceed 95.7% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOccupancy rates fall below 94.1% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are key to expanding the portfolio and driving growth. Large acquisitions signal confidence in the market.
Supportive ifTotal acquisitions in Q3 are over $200 million.
Worry ifTotal acquisitions in Q3 are below $200 million.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial stability. It shows a commitment to shareholder returns, which builds trust.
Watch forNews that the dividend will stay at $0.20 per share.
Also watch forAnnouncement of a dividend cut below $0.20 per share.
Why it matters: Lower acquisition volume may show a slowdown in growth and spending. This is important for staying competitive.
Worry ifAcquisition volume for Q3 is below $228 million.
Less concerning ifAcquisition volume for Q3 is above $228 million.
Why it matters: Higher EPS guidance shows confidence in earnings growth. It can boost investor sentiment and stock price.
Supportive ifEPS guidance is raised above $0.41.
Worry ifEPS guidance remains at or below $0.41.
Why it matters: Higher guidance means stronger earnings growth. It shows management believes in future success.
Supportive ifManagement raises FFO As Adjusted guidance above $1.26 per share for 2026.
Worry ifManagement maintains or lowers FFO As Adjusted guidance at or below $1.24 per share.