AstroNova Inc (ALOT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.990.00%
Close 2026-08-28 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALOT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -55.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALOT — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-08-26
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. The information set forth in the Introductory Note and
Why it matters: Management planned to start the MTEX ramp in Q2. That could offset weaker sales from the old Trojan products.
Supportive ifProduct ID revenue rises year over year. The company says MTEX sales are replacing Trojan sales.
Worry ifProduct ID revenue falls year over year, or management reports that the MTEX ramp was delayed.
Why it matters: Net debt fell $2.3 million in FY2027 Q1, but debt remained $31.2 million. Later results can show whether that progress continues.
Worry ifA company update reports net debt below $31.2 million.
Less concerning ifA company update reports net debt at or above $31.2 million, or debt rises from the last reported level.
Why it matters: Management said the royalty would end in Q3 FY2027. Its removal could lift gross profit from Q4 onward.
Supportive ifA filing or company update confirms the royalty ended. Later results show lower royalty costs or higher gross margin.
Worry ifThe royalty remains in place after Q3 FY2027, or later results show no lower royalty cost.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$11 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $59 loss on $10,000 · 0.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $517 loss on $10,000 · 5.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.