Alexander's, Inc. (ALX)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$262.42-0.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ALX — officer change
Dated 2026-05-21
Approval of a new stock plan with no impact on current management.
Why it matters: If revenue growth stabilizes or improves, it shows a positive change in real estate.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: This plan could influence management incentives and company performance. It shows how the company values its talent.
Watch forManagement shares news on the 2026 Omnibus Stock Plan.
Also watch forNo updates or bad feedback about the 2026 Omnibus Stock Plan.
Why it matters: The lease change includes a $56.8 million rent cut. This will affect cash flow.
Watch forManagement explains how the lease change will affect cash flow in the future.
Also watch forThere are no updates or bad effects from the lease change.
Why it matters: The real estate sector is growing up. Faster revenue growth could boost sentiment.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the sector increases above 5% year over year.
Worry ifIf revenue growth slows to below 5% year over year, it is a concern.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$99 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $261 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,467 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The lease amendment with Bloomberg includes a $56.8 million rent abatement. This could affect future revenue.
Watch forManagement reports stable revenue around $53M-$55M with no immediate impact from the lease change.
Also watch forIf future revenue drops below $50 million, it shows the lease change hurt income.
Why it matters: The gain from this sale may boost earnings and support capital allocation plans.
Supportive ifThe company gained about $148 million in Q2.
Worry ifThe gain is much lower than $148 million or not reported.
Why it matters: This change may affect cash flow and future earnings from 731 Lexington Avenue.
Watch forManagement shares more financial details. They benefit from the $56.8 million rent cut.
Also watch forNo updates or negative effects from the lease change are reported.