AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.65+4.33%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -76.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 85.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers
AMC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 23, 2026, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (the “Company” or “AMC”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with certain institutional investors (the “Investors”) for the sale by the Company of 95,250,000 shares (the “Shares”) of its Class A common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”), in a registered direct offering (the “Offering”), at a purchase price of $2.10 per share. The Offering is expecte…
Why it matters: Reducing debt makes finances more stable. It also lowers interest costs.
Supportive ifAt least $125 million in debt reduction is expected after the June offering.
Worry ifNo big debt reduction announced in three months.
Why it matters: Details on the debt issuance will explain AMC's money situation. This affects future growth and flexibility.
Watch forAnnouncement of terms for the June 23 debt issuance.
Also watch forNo details released about the debt issuance by August 10.
Why it matters: A better EBITDA margin shows good cost management. It also shows the company runs well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 20% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 18% in Q3.
Why it matters: Progress on these investments could enhance guest experience and drive revenue growth.
Supportive ifWatch for news on completed upgrades or new premium features in theatres.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in planned premium theatre investments.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$386 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $655 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,990 loss on $10,000 · 69.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New refinancing could help AMC's finances. It may lower interest costs and aid growth.
Supportive ifLook for news about more debt refinancing or lower interest rates.
Worry ifNo new refinancing announcements or an increase in debt levels.
Why it matters: If communication services revenue growth turns positive, it may help AMC's recovery. This could signal a sector rebound.
Supportive ifThe communication services sector has positive revenue growth. This is the first time in over a year.
Worry ifThe sector's revenue growth is still negative. This has happened for another quarter.
Why it matters: Upgrades can enhance guest experience and drive higher revenue per visit.
Supportive ifCompletion of at least 5 major premium theatre upgrades by year-end.
Worry ifFewer than 3 major upgrades by year-end.
Why it matters: Paying off debt helps AMC's balance sheet. It lowers interest costs and improves stability.
Supportive ifAMC redeems $125.5 million in Senior Subordinated Notes by the end of Q3.
Worry ifAMC fails to complete the redemption by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: Lower revenue growth would signal a slowdown in AMC's strong performance this year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth year over year is less than 14%.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth year over year meets or exceeds 14%.
Why it matters: More people going to movies shows strong demand for movie experiences.
Supportive ifQ3 attendance growth year over year exceeds 12%.
Worry ifQ3 attendance growth year over year is below 12%.
Why it matters: Lowering debt helps AMC stay financially healthy and stable.
Supportive ifAMC reduces total debt by at least $100 million by the end of 2026.
Worry ifAMC fails to reduce total debt or increases debt levels.
Why it matters: Strong performances from new films can drive box office revenue and attendance.
Watch forUpcoming films like SPIDER-MAN: BRAND NEW DAY open with over $75 million.
Also watch forNew films do not meet box office expectations. They open below $50 million.