AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.52+7.32%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -69.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 81.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMC — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 5, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (the “Company” or “AMC”) completed a series of refinancing transactions (the “Transactions”), including the repayment, redemption and discharge of certain existing indebtedness described under Items 1.02 and 8.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K. In connection with the Transactions, on the Closing Date: · The Company issued $2,000.0 million aggregate principal amount of 8.87…
Why it matters: AMC reported strong revenue growth in its first two 2026 quarters. Q3 results will show if growth also lifts cash earnings.
Watch forQ3 revenue grows year over year, and Adjusted EBITDA is above the $321.4 million reported for 2026-Q2.
Also watch forQ3 revenue falls year over year, or Adjusted EBITDA is below $321.4 million.
Why it matters: The refinancing moved debt maturities out, but the new notes carry 8.875% interest. Cash flow will show whether AMC can bear that cost.
Worry ifA later filing shows interest expense rising year over year and free cash flow below zero.
Less concerning ifA later filing shows free cash flow above zero while interest expense does not rise year over year.
Why it matters: AMC's revenue grew in the first half, but the sector outlook flags slower growth as a risk. A year-end result will test that trend.
Worry ifAMC reports full-year 2026 revenue growth above its 2025 level of $3.25 billion in reported revenue.
Less concerning ifAMC reports full-year 2026 revenue at or below $3.25 billion.
Why it matters: AMC linked its outlook to a strong box office. Higher attendance can lift ticket and food sales.
Watch forQ3 attendance and company revenue both rise from last year. This matches the reported 35.9% attendance gain and 42.2% revenue gain for July and August.
Also watch forQ3 attendance or revenue falls year over year, despite the July and August gains.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$278 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $670 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,353 loss on $10,000 · 63.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.