Amn Healthcare Services, Inc. (AMN)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$47.42-0.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -19.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-19
and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except to the extent as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin reached 30.6%, but Q3 guidance points to 27.0% to 27.5%. A lower result would deepen the expected drop.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below 27.0%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at or above 27.5%.
Why it matters: AMN reported a 4.0% operating margin in Q2, but guided to just 0.2% to 0.8% for Q3. A miss would signal weaker profit from its work.
Worry ifQ3 operating margin is below 0.2%.
Less concerning ifQ3 operating margin is at or above 0.8%.
Why it matters: AMN guided to $640 million to $655 million for Q3. Revenue above that range would extend the recent growth trend.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue is above $655 million and grows year over year.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $640 million.
Why it matters: This segment grew 11% year over year in Q2. Management guided to 9% to 11% growth in Q3.
Supportive ifQ3 Nurse and Allied revenue grows more than 9% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 Nurse and Allied revenue falls below its year-ago level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $445 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,681 loss on $10,000 · 26.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.