Antero Resources (AR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$39.41-0.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put AR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 26% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 19%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
Antero Resources (AR) must continue to expand production and improve margins to justify its price. Revenue grew 20% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 16× P/E versus a peer median of 18×, indicating modest growth expectations compared to our view. The next-quarter miss probability is 32%, which suggests a risk of disappointing results. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. AR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering AR (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AR in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare AR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase production and revenue growth
Higher production guidance supports revenue growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $39.41
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $39.41.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase production and revenue growth
Record results and raised guidance support revenue growth objective.
Advances: Reduce cash production costs and improve margins
Cost reduction aligns with improving margins objective.
Advances: Reduce cash production costs and improve margins
Margin expansion supports cost reduction and improves overall profitability.
Advances: Enhance operating income
Cost cuts enhance operating income significantly.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Oil price rally boosts revenue growth potential.
Advances: Increase cash from operations
Projected FCF increase supports cash from operations.
Advances: Enhance operating income
Improved FCF and balance sheet enhance operating income.