Arrive AI Inc (ARAI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.09-14.42%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARAI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 378.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
ARAI — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-11-02
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. The information set forth in
Why it matters: A named award would show that the new defense plan has moved beyond its launch. No award has been announced yet.
Supportive ifA filing or release names a defense contract, paid test, or government funding award.
Worry ifThe next two quarterly updates name no defense partner, test, contract, or funding award.
Why it matters: The COO left both the job and the board, with no successor named. A new leader would help show how the company plans to run day-to-day work.
Watch forThe company names a new COO and confirms the person's start date.
Also watch forThe next two quarterly updates name no COO and report that the role remains open.
Why it matters: The company has received three notices tied to the value of its public shares. A compliance update would show whether this listing risk has eased.
Watch forA Nasdaq notice or company filing confirms the public-share value rule is met. It also confirms the deficiency is closed.
Also watch forA new Nasdaq notice extends the deficiency, or Nasdaq starts delisting steps.
Why it matters: Revenue fell to $14,700 in Q2 2026, and cash from operations was negative in Q1. Better results could ease pressure on funding.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is at or below $14,700, or cash from operations is at or below -$2.9 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue tops $14,700 and cash from operations is above -$2.9 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$351 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,207 loss on $10,000 · 12.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,805 loss on $10,000 · 98.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The auditor resigned in October. Naming a replacement and filing on time would ease concern about the handoff.
Worry ifThe company misses a filing date or reports a delay tied to the auditor change.
Less concerning ifA filing names the new auditor, reports no dispute, and arrives on time.