Ares Management (ARES)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-07-07
$120.67-0.95%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $120.67. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $121 ARES trades at 25× p/e — 1.3× the 19× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $119 fair value is medium-confidence here. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $149 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $625.07 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $936.46 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $60.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $106.99 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $172.82 |
| 1.7 |
| 103.62 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $276.90 | 13.8 | 20.00 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $91.08 | 18.6 | 4.91 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $185.43 | 3.0 | 62.60 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $86.82 | 17.7 | 4.91 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $82.03 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $89.70 | 18.6 | 4.84 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $262.84 | 1.7 | 157.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $166.58 | 18.6 | 8.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $275.71 | 3.0 | 93.07 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $158.78 | 17.7 | 8.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $347.60 | 1.7 | 208.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $215.78 | 18.6 | 11.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $357.14 | 3.0 | 120.56 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $205.67 | 17.7 | 11.63 | Analyst | medium |