Ares Management (ARES)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
$133.72-2.29%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARES
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ARES — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Regulation FD Disclosure . On October 29, 2026, the registrant issued a press release announcing the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $1.35 per share of its Class A common stock, payable on December 31, 2026 to its Class A common stockholders of record as of December 17, 2026. The registrant also issued a detailed earnings presentation announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. The text of the press release and earnings presentation is included as E…
Why it matters: Ares said Q4 deployment should improve and cited capital already raised but not yet earning fees. More deployment can add to future fees.
Supportive ifQ4 fee related earnings top Q3's $524.2 million. Management reports more deployment.
Worry ifQ4 fee related earnings fall below $524.2 million. Management reports deployment did not improve.
Why it matters: Ares raised more than $31 billion in Q3 and said it still sees a record year. A record would confirm demand across its funds.
Supportive ifAres reports 2026 fundraising above its past annual record.
Worry ifAres reports 2026 fundraising below its past annual record or drops its view of a record year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $414 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,525 loss on $10,000 · 45.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.