Aramark (ARMK)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$56.78-0.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARMK
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $57 ARMK trades at 27× p/e — 1.8× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $51 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $50–$74. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $65.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $100.47 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $10.29 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $24.38 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$50.00 – $74.00 (median $65.00) · 21 analysts · as of 2026-08-19
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 73% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 4.6 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.48/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $54.81 |
| 10.4 |
| 5.13 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $28.03 | 16.1 | 1.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $42.15 | 15.3 | 2.76 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $56.58 | 0.8 | 68.92 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $53.85 | 25.8 | 2.09 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $17.48 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $31.87 | 15.1 | 2.11 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $42.63 | 16.1 | 2.65 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $50.92 | 15.3 | 3.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $79.73 | 0.8 | 97.11 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $85.93 | 25.8 | 3.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $56.38 | 16.1 | 3.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $61.05 | 15.3 | 4.00 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $95.59 | 0.8 | 116.44 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $103.03 | 25.8 | 4.00 | Analyst | medium |