Armour Residential REIT (ARR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$16.35+1.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARR
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-5.6) + peer(0.2*-7.7) + term(0.0) → -3.51% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 52 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 1 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 22, 2026 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q2 results and June 30, 2026 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Excha…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 22, 2026 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q1 results and March 31, 2026 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exc…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company” or “ARMOUR”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q4 results and December 31, 2025 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 22, 2025 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q3 results and September 30, 2025 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (th…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 23, 2025 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q2 results and June 30, 2025 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Excha…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 23, 2025 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q1 results and March 31, 2025 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exc…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2025 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q4 results and December 31, 2024 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (th…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 23, 2024 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q3 results and September 30, 2024 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (th…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 24, 2024 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q2 results and June 30, 2024 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Excha…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 25, 2024 , ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q1 results and March 31, 2024 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exc…