Artesian Resources Corp (ARTNA)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.19-0.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARTNA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
Why it matters: Slower net income growth may mean rising costs. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifNet income growth exceeds 6.7% year over year in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifNet income growth falls below 6.7% year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into financial health and growth. It can impact stock sentiment significantly.
Watch forEarnings per share (EPS) is much better than what analysts expected.
Also watch forEPS falls short of analyst expectations.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth may signal challenges in customer acquisition or rate increases. This could impact future earnings.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth below 7% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth of 7% or more year over year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in utilities speeds up, it may help Artesian do better.
Supportive ifUtilities sector revenue growth exceeds 7% year over year.
Worry ifUtilities sector revenue growth stays below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$64 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $223 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,226 loss on $10,000 · 12.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A decrease in customers would signal potential issues with service or competition. This could impact revenue and growth plans.
Worry ifThe number of wastewater customers goes down each year.
Less concerning ifThe number of wastewater customers goes up each year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the utility sector.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is over 5% year over year. This shows a recovery.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is under 4%. This means it is still maturing.
Why it matters: Customer growth is crucial for revenue. If the customer base expands, it supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifCustomer base increases by more than 5% in Q2.
Worry ifCustomer base grows less than 2% in Q2.
Why it matters: Water sales revenue growth is key for Artesian's financial health. A drop below 5% could signal trouble.
Worry ifQ3 water sales revenue growth is reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 water sales revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Why it matters: More capital spending shows a focus on infrastructure. Spending over $30 million means strong investment.
Supportive ifCapital spending for 2026 is over $30 million.
Worry ifCapital spending for 2026 is below $30 million.
Why it matters: Customer growth is vital for revenue. A slowdown below 5% could indicate market challenges.
Worry ifCustomer growth rate reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifCustomer growth rate remains at or above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Approval of rate increases is crucial for revenue growth. Delays or denials could hurt financials.
Supportive ifThe DEPSC approved the proposed rate increases.
Worry ifThe DEPSC denied the proposed rate increases.