ARTS WAY MANUFACTURING CO INC (ARTW)
NASDAQIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.32+9.57%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ARTW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 9.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
ARTW — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-29
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 22, 2026 Art’s-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a credit facility (the “Credit Facility”) with Bank Midwest, consisting of a $500,000 revolving line of credit (the “Reserve Line of Credit”) which is governed by a Promissory Note executed and delivered by the Company on such date. The Reserve Line of Credit is secondary to the Company’s $4,000,000 revolving line of credit (the Line of Credit) and will be utilized upon…
Why it matters: Higher margins show good pricing strategies and better product mix.
Supportive ifGross profit margins are above 30%. This shows margin improvement efforts are working.
Worry ifGross profit margins are below 25%. This suggests problems with pricing or costs.
Why it matters: Better margins would show good cost management and pricing. This is important for making more money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin in the Modular Buildings segment improves by more than 2% in Q3 compared to Q2.
Worry ifGross profit margin in the Modular Buildings segment declines further or stays flat.
Why it matters: High demand for livestock products helps grow revenue. It also balances losses in other areas.
Supportive ifSales of livestock-oriented products increase by more than 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifSales of livestock-oriented products decline or grow less than 5% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this segment shows demand recovery. This is despite past challenges.
Supportive ifSales in the Agricultural Products segment go up by at least 10% from last year in Q3.
Worry ifSales fall or grow less than 5% year-over-year. This shows ongoing challenges.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$150 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $576 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,650 loss on $10,000 · 36.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A sector growth rate above 10% would indicate a shift in the industrials sector. This could positively impact ARTW's growth outlook.
Watch forSector growth rate reported above 10% year over year.
Also watch forSector growth rate reported below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Good cash flow helps with plans and managing debt. This is key for growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $362,000 reported in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $362,000 or turns negative.
Why it matters: Turning backlog into revenue shows strong demand and good operations. This can lead to future growth.
Supportive ifRevenue from Modular Buildings increases by at least 30% in Q3 due to backlog conversion.
Worry ifRevenue from Modular Buildings does not increase or declines in Q3.
Why it matters: Rising costs can squeeze margins and affect profitability. This is a key risk to monitor.
Worry ifMaterial costs are going up a lot. This affects gross margins by over 3%.
Less concerning ifMaterial costs are steady or going down. This helps improve margins.
Why it matters: Rising material costs can hurt profit margins. Watching these prices helps see potential margin issues.
Worry ifSteel prices stabilize or decline, easing margin pressures in Q3.
Less concerning ifSteel prices continue to rise, further squeezing margins in Q3.
Why it matters: Turning backlog into revenue shows the company works well and has strong demand. This is key for cash flow.
Supportive ifBacklog converts into revenue of more than $1 million in Q3.
Worry ifBacklog conversion into revenue is less than $1 million or delays occur.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand. It means more production for Modular Buildings.
Supportive ifThe Modular Buildings has a backlog of more than $19 million in future updates.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or fails to grow from the current $19 million.
Why it matters: Better margins mean the company is handling costs well.
Supportive ifGross profit margin increases by at least 1% in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifGross profit margin continues to decline or stays flat in the next report.
Why it matters: Improved cash flow helps with plans and managing debt.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $400,000 in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations drops below $300,000 in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Steady sales growth shows ongoing demand and strong operations.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth exceeds 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth falls below 10% year over year.