ASTROTECH CORP (ASTC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$7.37+2.65%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 73.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 100.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 56 industry peers
ASTC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-19
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on June 2, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”), entered into an at-the-market offering agreement (the “Offering Agreement”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC, as agent (“Wainwright”), pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the “Common Stock”), from time to time, through an “at the market offering” program under which Wainwright acts as sales agent. The offer and sale of the…
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target would show strong demand for Astrotech's products. It would support its growth.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue reported above $400,000.
Worry ifQ4 revenue was below $343,000, which shows a slowdown.
Why it matters: His skills could improve talks with investors and help stock performance.
Watch forInvestors give positive feedback or the stock price goes up after his appointment.
Also watch forInvestors give negative feedback or the stock price goes down after his appointment.
Why it matters: Lower operating losses mean better control of costs. This shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating losses drop below $3.45 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating losses rise or stay above $3.45 million next quarter.
Why it matters: Increasing revenue is crucial for Astrotech's financial health. Strong partnerships could boost sales and market presence.
Supportive ifRevenue grew more than 20% from one quarter to the next.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains flat or declines in the next quarter.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$422 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,221 loss on $10,000 · 12.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,753 loss on $10,000 · 87.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Continued revenue growth shows success in forming strategic partnerships. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue grows year over year, exceeding $343,000.
Worry ifQ3 revenue declines or fails to grow year over year.
Why it matters: Better margins mean better cost control and efficiency. This helps long-term profits.
Supportive ifGross profit margins were over 20%. This shows good cost control.
Worry ifGross profit margins stayed under 20%. This shows ongoing cost issues.
Why it matters: A sale could provide needed capital for Astrotech's lunar mining plans. This is a key strategic move.
Supportive ifA signed letter of intent or a final agreement with a buyer was announced.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the sale process beyond the expected timeline.
Why it matters: More money from TRACER 1000 would show demand for Astrotech's technology.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue from the TRACER 1000 exceeds $500,000.
Worry ifQuarterly revenue from the TRACER 1000 remains below $300,000.
Why it matters: Better margins mean better cost control and efficiency. These are important for making money.
Supportive ifGross profit margin exceeds 20% in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifGross profit margin remains below 10% in the next quarterly report.