ASTROTECH CORP (ASTC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.61-5.14%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 15.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 84.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
ASTC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-19
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on June 2, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”), entered into an at-the-market offering agreement (the “Offering Agreement”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC, as agent (“Wainwright”), pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the “Common Stock”), from time to time, through an “at the market offering” program under which Wainwright acts as sales agent. The offer and sale of the…
Why it matters: Fiscal 2026 revenue fell from the prior year. Higher revenue would show the pipeline is turning into sales.
Supportive ifIn the November 12 earnings release, revenue is above $913,000. That is the fiscal 2026 full-year quarterly average.
Worry ifRevenue is below $913,000 and below the $1.049 million average for each quarter of fiscal 2025.
Why it matters: Astrotech reported $11.3 million in cash and short-term investments, against a $14.4 million yearly operating loss. A sharp drop may raise funding concerns.
Worry ifThe next reported total for cash and short-term investments is below $7 million. No sale proceeds are disclosed.
Less concerning ifThe next reported total remains above $10 million, or a completed 1st Detect sale adds cash.
Why it matters: Approval could open another screening market for TRACER 1000. The product is still in the review process.
Supportive ifTSA grants checkpoint approval for TRACER 1000, or publicly confirms it has passed the review process.
Worry ifTSA rejects TRACER 1000 or the company reports that checkpoint review has stopped.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$307 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,264 loss on $10,000 · 12.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,074 loss on $10,000 · 90.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.