Asure Software, Inc. (ASUR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.28+1.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASUR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -41.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers
ASUR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-30
of this Current Report (including the press release furnished as an exhibit hereto) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Reaching this target confirms the company's growth strategy is working. It reflects overall business health.
Supportive ifFY 2026 revenue reported at $159M or higher.
Worry ifFY 2026 revenue reported below $159M.
Why it matters: Recurring revenue is important for stability. A slowdown may show problems with keeping customers or market demand.
Worry ifRecurring revenue growth reported at 16% or higher YoY.
Less concerning ifRecurring revenue growth was less than 16% year over year.
Why it matters: This partnership could boost market share in the restaurant segment. Its success is key for growth.
Supportive ifNew contracts or revenue growth linked to the FRPG partnership.
Worry ifNo new contracts or stagnant revenue in the restaurant segment.
Why it matters: Higher attach rates mean better customer engagement and product use. This helps revenue grow.
Supportive ifManagement says product attach rates will rise in the next quarter.
Worry ifFlat or falling attach rates show weak customer interest.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $395 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,162 loss on $10,000 · 31.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This range shows how well the company can make more money. It matters for investor trust.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 adjusted EBITDA reported at $10M or higher.
Worry ifQ3 2026 adjusted EBITDA was below $8M.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss could mean ongoing problems with making revenue.
Worry ifAnother earnings report shows results that are below what was expected.
Less concerning ifThe earnings report meets or is better than expectations.
Why it matters: Confirming the revenue target of $159M-$163M shows confidence in growth and market position.
Supportive ifManagement confirms the FY 2026 revenue guidance during the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement lowers the FY 2026 revenue guidance below $159M.
Why it matters: Slowing revenue growth could signal a shift in the sector's growth phase. It may affect future performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the sector median.
Why it matters: Changes in revenue guidance show management's trust in growth and market conditions.
Watch forManagement raises full year 2026 revenue guidance above $163M.
Also watch forManagement lowers full year 2026 revenue guidance below $159M.
Why it matters: This revenue range is crucial to meet full-year growth targets. It shows if the company can sustain its growth trend.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue reported at $40M or higher.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue reported below $38M.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows better cost management. This is key for long-term growth.
Supportive ifOperating income is positive or better than in past quarters.
Worry ifOperating income is still negative or worse than in past quarters.