ATERIAN INC (ATER)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.85+5.78%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATER
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -85.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 99.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers
ATER — private placement
Dated 2026-10-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 20, 2026, Aterian, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into an unsecured promissory note (the “Note”) with Chen Zhipeng (the “Lender”), a stockholder of the Company, pursuant to which the Lender agreed to make advances (each, an “Advance”) to the Company in an aggregate principal amount of up to $1,000,000. Advances bear interest at 8.0% per annum, computed on the basis of a 360-day year and accruing daily from the date…
Why it matters: Aterian received notice that its share price did not meet Nasdaq's minimum bid rule. A filing that confirms compliance would close this listing risk.
Worry ifAterian reports that Nasdaq has found it back in compliance with the minimum bid rule.
Less concerning ifAterian reports that it remains out of compliance or faces delisting action.
Why it matters: Aterian plans to keep Vremi and Xtava after selling its larger brands. The next report can show whether these brands still bring in sales.
Watch forThe Nov. 12 report shows sales from the remaining brands above $7.0 million, with operating results improving from the Q2 loss.
Also watch forThe Nov. 12 report shows sales below $7.0 million or a larger operating loss than in Q2.
Why it matters: Aterian dismissed UHY on Oct. 2. A new auditor and on-time reports would ease concern about reporting delays.
Worry ifAterian names a new audit firm and files its next required report on time. No audit dispute is reported.
Less concerning ifAterian reports a late filing or a new audit dispute. Or it has no new auditor by its next required report.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$385 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $909 loss on $10,000 · 9.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,406 loss on $10,000 · 74.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.