authID Inc (AUID)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.40+1.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AUID
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
AUID — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-02
CEO — Rhoniel A. Daguro: The CEO resigned for 'Good Reason' but immediately transitioned to the Chairman role, and an internal co-founder was appointed as Interim CEO, indicating an orderly succession rather than a loss of key leadership.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect company plans and actions. A smooth transition is key.
Watch forA new Chief Product Officer is appointed. They lead product strategy well.
Also watch forProduct development is still unstable. There is no clear direction after the departure.
Why it matters: The Q2 earnings results will show if revenue growth continues. This affects investor confidence.
Watch forRevenue increases year over year by more than 20% in the Q2 report.
Also watch forRevenue growth is flat or declines year over year in the Q2 report.
Why it matters: Negative net income shows ongoing money problems. Investors want to see better results.
Worry ifQ2 net income worse than -$4,463,536 from Q1 2026.
Less concerning ifQ2 net income improves to above -$4,463,536.
Why it matters: Cutting net loss is key for authID's financial recovery. This shows better cost control.
Supportive ifNet loss reported below $4.5 million in Q2.
Worry ifNet loss stays above $4.5 million, showing ongoing financial issues.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$389 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,236 loss on $10,000 · 12.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,926 loss on $10,000 · 89.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The size and progress of the pipeline are crucial for future revenue. New deals could signal growth.
Supportive ifNew contracts or big progress in the company pipeline are announced.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the company pipeline show no progress.
Why it matters: A smaller adjusted EBITDA loss means better control of costs. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA loss was below $3 million for Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA loss remains above $3.4 million for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below median, it signals a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt authID's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Using bridge financing could help extend operations and support growth.
Supportive ifPositive updates on cash flow or new contracts resulting from the bridge financing.
Worry ifThere are reports of cash flow problems or trouble getting new contracts after financing.
Why it matters: Updates on the private placement will show how the company is fixing its money problems.
Supportive ifManagement says they used the $3.76 million from the private placement well.
Worry ifNo updates or negative news regarding the use of funds from the private placement.
Why it matters: Increasing revenue is key to showing the company is gaining traction in its market.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $500K, showing growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue remains below $480K, suggesting growth challenges.
Why it matters: Successful POCs could bring big contracts and more revenue.
Supportive ifNews of successful POCs with big customers, leading to contracts.
Worry ifFailure to secure contracts or negative feedback from POCs.