Aware Inc/MA (AWRE)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.27-0.78%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AWRE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 94.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AWRE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-29
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 29, 2026, Aware, Inc. issued the press release, attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1, describing the results of operations and financial condition of the company as of and for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.
Why it matters: Lower operating costs show good management. This can help the company's future profits.
Supportive ifOperating expenses drop to $5.5 million or lower in Q3.
Worry ifOperating expenses are over $6.0 million in Q3. This shows poor cost control.
Why it matters: New agreements can signal growth and stability. They are crucial for future revenue.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of at least one new important agreement.
Worry ifNo new agreements are announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Successfully integrating these partners could improve the Awareness Platform. It could also lead to future growth.
Watch forIn Q3 2026, there will be news about successful steps with ROC and Mitek. New features will also be announced.
Also watch forNo updates or problems were reported about ROC and Mitek partnerships in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Winning new contracts would prove the company is focused on government work. It shows Aware is doing well in the public sector.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new federal contract or RFI in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new contracts or RFIs announced in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$243 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $634 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,293 loss on $10,000 · 62.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Winning federal contracts would prove the company's plan works. This helps revenue growth.
Supportive ifAt least one new federal contract worth over $1 million is announced.
Worry ifNo new federal contracts are announced next quarter. This shows weak demand.
Why it matters: Cutting costs by $4M each year is important for better financial health. Progress shows better cost control.
Supportive ifManagement says they have cut at least $2M in costs each year.
Worry ifOperating costs stay the same or go up in the next quarter.
Why it matters: New partnerships would strengthen the platform and support growth in biometric solutions.
Supportive ifWatch for news about new tech partners joining the Awareness Platform.
Worry ifIf no new partnerships are announced, it shows slow progress in platform development.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Aware Inc can improve its weak financial status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forEarnings show a profit. They also show a big drop in losses from last quarters.
Also watch forEarnings report shows more losses. Financial metrics have gotten worse.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth slows, it may impact Aware Inc's performance. Investors will assess how this affects the company.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median for the last year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Growth in recurring revenue shows a good shift to a subscription model. This is key for long-term success.
Supportive ifRecurring revenue in Q2 2026 grows more than 10% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifRecurring revenue growth is less than 5% YoY in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth in Q3 would show progress in the transition to the Awareness Platform. It would indicate that investments are starting to pay off.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $3.3 million, showing growth compared to Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $3.3 million. This shows revenue is still declining.
Why it matters: Winning federal contracts would prove the company's plan. It would also increase revenue potential.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new federal contract or RFI in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new contracts or RFIs announced, indicating weak demand.
Why it matters: More public sector work could bring big revenue chances for Aware.
Supportive ifIncrease in RFIs and procurement activity from public sector clients in Q3 2026.
Worry ifIf public sector activity stays low, it shows trouble in getting contracts.
Why it matters: New agreements would help growth and back management's plan. This could mean a positive change in business.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of one or more new material agreements by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new agreements announced by the end of Q3 2026.