AXIL Brands Inc (AXIL)
AMEXInformation TechnologyHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.60-2.78%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AXIL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -52.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AXIL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-06
have been furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liability under that section nor shall they be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing regardless of any general incorporation language. Item 9.01 | Financial Statements a…
Why it matters: AXIL gave partners about 25% of Reviv3 to lead its global relaunch. A named launch date or sales result would show whether the plan is moving.
Watch forAXIL names a Reviv3 launch date and reports a new retail partner or sales growth for the brand.
Also watch forAXIL reports that the Reviv3 relaunch is delayed. Or, it reports lower Reviv3 sales in a later quarter.
Why it matters: First-quarter revenue fell 11.2% year over year. The company tied the drop to the XCOR changeover and a large order that did not repeat.
Supportive ifA later quarter shows total revenue above $6.9 million, the first-quarter level from the prior year. Hearing direct sales are still near flat or growing.
Worry ifA later quarter stays below $6.9 million and hearing direct sales fall more than 1% year over year.
Why it matters: AXIL reported over $3.6 million in XCOR II orders by September 30. Q2 sales will show how much of that demand shipped.
Supportive ifQ2 results link XCOR II sales to the order backlog. Most of the reported $3.6 million in orders shipped or are still due to ship.
Worry ifQ2 results show little XCOR II revenue. Or, the company says much of the order backlog was canceled or delayed.
Why it matters: AXIL said its store count grew to about 6,000, while its latest quarterly revenue fell. New sales data will test whether wider access drives more orders.
Watch forA later quarter reports revenue above $8.6 million, the prior quarterly record. It confirms sales through Walmart or other retail partners.
Also watch forA later quarter reports revenue below $6.1 million. It notes weaker sales through Walmart or other retail partners.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $602 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,901 loss on $10,000 · 39.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.