Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER)
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.12+2.75%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BAER
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-25.0) + peer(0.2*5.3) + term(0.0) → -7.68% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as ame…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. On May 6, 2026, the Company held a conference call to discuss its results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A transcript of the conference call is furnished as Exhibit 99.2…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 5, 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 7, 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as ame…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 8, 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amende…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 13, 2025, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 11, 2024, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. Also on November 11, 2024, following the issuance of the Earnings Release, the Company held an investor conference call to discuss its results o…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2024, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as am…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2024, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amend…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 19, 2024 , Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the year and fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2023 . A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act…
above is incorporated herein by reference. ******* Non-GAAP Financial Measures Although Bridger believes that net income or loss, as determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), is the most appropriate earnings measure, Bridger uses EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as key profitability measures to assess the performance of its business. Bridger believes these measures help illustrate underlying trends in its business and uses the measures to establish budget…