Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BAH
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $73 BAH trades at 11× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $86 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $65–$140. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $80.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $573.60 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $39.26 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $126.87 | 15.4 | 10.11 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$65.00 – $140.00 (median $80.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-09-01
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $205.06 |
| 22.1 |
| 9.29 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $130.69 | 20.0 | 6.54 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $150.06 | 1.6 | 92.30 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $35.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $74.09 | 10.8 | 6.85 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $168.09 | 24.0 | 7.02 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $311.87 | 22.1 | 14.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $140.80 | 20.0 | 7.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $168.46 | 1.6 | 103.62 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $71.49 | 10.8 | 6.61 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $412.45 | 22.1 | 18.68 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $150.01 | 20.0 | 7.51 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $179.48 | 1.6 | 110.39 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $69.81 | 10.8 | 6.45 | Analyst | medium |