Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$89.32+1.16%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BAH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BAH — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-04
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 4, 2026, Booz Allen Hamilton Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the “Parent Guarantor”), issued $700,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 5.375% Senior Notes due 2030 (the “2030 Notes”) and $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 5.900% Senior Notes due 2034 (the “2034 Notes”, and together with the 2030 Notes, the “Notes”…
Why it matters: Revenue fell in both reported fiscal 2027 quarters. The wider sector also faces slower growth, so a revenue rebound would be a clear change.
Watch forNext reported quarterly revenue is higher than the same quarter a year earlier.
Also watch forNext reported quarterly revenue falls at least 3.9% year over year, matching or worsening Q2's decline.
Why it matters: The company raised its free cash flow floor, while Q2 cash flow fell 33.4% year over year. Full-year cash flow will test the higher floor.
Watch forFiscal 2027 free cash flow reaches at least $850 million, the low end of the new range.
Also watch forFiscal 2027 free cash flow falls below $850 million, or the company cuts its range.
Why it matters: Backlog grew 1.9% to $41 billion, and Q2 book-to-bill was 1.5x. More growth would support demand in National Security.
Supportive ifBacklog rises above $41 billion. Quarterly book-to-bill stays above 1.0x in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifBacklog falls below $41 billion, or quarterly book-to-bill drops below 1.0x.
Why it matters: Revenue fell 3.9% in Q2, but Booz Allen narrowed its full-year range. Results near the low end would show whether growth is holding up.
Watch forFiscal 2027 revenue is at least $11.3 billion, the low end of the new range.
Also watch forFiscal 2027 revenue falls below $11.3 billion, or the company cuts its $11.3–$11.6 billion range.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $437 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,116 loss on $10,000 · 41.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Booz Allen raised its adjusted EPS range after strong profit results. A result below the new range would weaken that progress.
Watch forFiscal 2027 adjusted diluted EPS is at least $6.50 and no more than $6.70.
Also watch forFiscal 2027 adjusted diluted EPS is below $6.50, or the company cuts its new range.