Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.73-7.40%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BATL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -87.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -20.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers
BATL — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-16
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On September 16, 2026, Battalion Oil Corporation (the “ Company ”) received a letter from NYSE American LLC (“ NYSE American ” or the “ Exchange ”) notifying the Company that it is back in compliance with all of the continued listing standards set forth in Part 10 of the NYSE American Company Guide (the “ Company Guide ”). As previously disclosed, on May 30, 2025, the Company had received noti…
Why it matters: Lower lease costs helped the company in Q2. A rise above that level would reverse the recent cost drop.
Worry ifQ3 lease operating and workover expense is above $8.69 per Boe.
Less concerning ifQ3 lease operating and workover expense is at or below $8.69 per Boe.
Why it matters: The first four-well pad tests the new drilling deal and multi-bench plan. Timely drilling would back the growth plan.
Supportive ifThe next update confirms all four wells were drilled, with no material delay or cost overrun.
Worry ifThe next update reports a material delay, a cost overrun, or fewer than four wells drilled.
Why it matters: Lower debt and leverage can ease the cost of debt. But the ATM also adds common shares.
Watch forQ3 results show net debt below $74.2 million and a leverage ratio below 1.36x.
Also watch forQ3 results show net debt above $74.2 million or a leverage ratio above 1.36x.
Why it matters: Q2 production was below the prior-year quarter. A rise above Q2 would show growth from the new development work.
Supportive ifQ3 average daily production is above 12,407 Boe/d.
Worry ifQ3 average daily production is at or below 12,407 Boe/d.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$290 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,151 loss on $10,000 · 11.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,637 loss on $10,000 · 66.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.