Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. (BATRA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$55.86-0.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BATRA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 39.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and missed its most recent quarter. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BATRA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
and the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
Why it matters: Better Adjusted OIBDA means improved cost control and more money coming in.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted OIBDA is over $12 million.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted OIBDA stays below $12 million.
Why it matters: The Communication Services sector is going down. If BATRA has positive revenue growth, it could mean a turnaround.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is up. This shows a positive change and hints at recovery.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still down. This confirms the decline.
Why it matters: Keeping costs the same and raising revenue shows better financial health.
Watch forOperating costs increase less than 10% year over year.
Also watch forOperating costs increase more than 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows better cost control and more revenue.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to less than $(19) million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOperating income gets worse or stays below $(19) million in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$85 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $187 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $995 loss on $10,000 · 10.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in mixed-use development revenue helps the business. It allows them to diversify.
Supportive ifQ3 mixed-use development revenue goes up by more than 14% from last year.
Worry ifQ3 mixed-use development revenue growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Key economic reports can change how much people spend and go to games.
Watch forPositive trends in the Consumer Price Index and Retail Sales report.
Also watch forNegative trends in the Consumer Price Index and Retail Sales report.
Why it matters: A better earnings forecast means stronger finances. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement has an earnings forecast that is better than what the market expects.
Worry ifEarnings forecast stays the same or is lowered.
Why it matters: More baseball revenue would show recovery from the drop in home games.
Supportive ifQ3 baseball revenue grows year over year by more than 2%.
Worry ifQ3 baseball revenue declines year over year or grows less than 2%.