Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.50+16.02%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BBCP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BBCP — earnings in line
Dated 2026-09-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 3, 2026, Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the "Press Release") announcing the Company’s financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the S…
Why it matters: Increasing cash from operations would show improved cash flow. This is important for funding growth and operations.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $10M in Q3.
Worry ifCash from operations remains below $8M in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong free cash flow shows healthy cash generation. This helps with future investments and managing debt. It matches management's focus on improving cash from operations.
Supportive ifFree cash flow exceeds $45 million in Q3, showing strong cash generation.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls below $40 million. This raises concerns about cash generation.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means better cost control. It shows that management is focusing on making more money.
Supportive ifOperating income exceeds $15M in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income remains below $12M in Q3.
Why it matters: If guidance is exceeded, it shows high demand. This is true for commercial and infrastructure projects.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue guidance is above $435 million. This shows strong growth momentum.
Worry ifGuidance is at or below $425 million. This suggests weak demand.
Why it matters: A steady or better margin shows good cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 24% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops below 23% in Q3.
Why it matters: Lower debt levels would help financial stability and cash flow.
Supportive ifTotal debt falls below $425 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifTotal debt increases above $450 million.
Why it matters: Higher free cash flow guidance reflects strong cash generation and financial health.
Supportive ifFree cash flow guidance is over $50 million. This shows good cash management.
Worry ifGuidance is below $45 million. This signals possible cash flow issues.
Why it matters: The payment shows that management wants to return value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company pays the declared dividend of $0.13 per share on schedule.
Worry ifThe company delays or suspends the dividend payment. This shows cash flow concerns.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows that there is ongoing demand in construction. This could help investors feel more confident.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 14% compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher free cash flow supports financial health and future investments. It shows the company's ability to generate cash.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported at least $45 million for FY 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $40 million for FY 2026.
Why it matters: If earnings are better than expected again, it shows the company is doing well. This can help investors trust the management's plans.
Supportive ifThe next earnings report will show earnings per share higher than what analysts expect.
Worry ifThe next earnings report will show earnings per share lower than what analysts expect.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows the company is managing costs well. This means the company is financially healthy.
Supportive ifOperating income increases by more than 20% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income growth is less than 10% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Concrete Pumping Holdings. It shows overall market strength.
Watch forSector revenue growth rises above 7% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth drops below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide key updates on revenue, income, and cash flow. It will help assess the company's progress against its goals.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and improved income metrics.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows that revenue or income is going down.
Why it matters: Lower growth in operating income may mean higher costs. It could also mean less efficiency.
Worry ifOperating income growth falls below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifOperating income growth exceeds 20% year over year.
Why it matters: High growth in net income shows strong performance in operations.
Supportive ifNet income grew over 30% YoY in Q4. This shows strong profitability.
Worry ifNet income growth is below 20% YoY. This suggests challenges in operations.
Why it matters: A better outlook shows that management believes in ongoing demand and growth.
Supportive ifManagement raises the full-year revenue outlook to more than $425 million.
Worry ifManagement keeps or lowers the full-year revenue outlook to less than $410 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$138 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $389 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,631 loss on $10,000 · 26.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.