Boise Cascade (BCC)
NYSEIndustrialsPaper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$79.21+2.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsPaper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BCC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $79 BCC trades at 27× p/e — 1.4× the 19× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $77 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $12.09 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $20.74 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $61.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $135.64 | 11.6 | 10.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $54.85 |
| 18.7 |
| 2.93 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $79.73 | 16.4 | 4.86 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $334.95 | 1.8 | 183.32 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $124.69 | 42.3 | 2.95 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $48.33 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $55.32 | 18.9 | 2.93 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $154.77 | 16.4 | 9.43 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $387.48 | 1.8 | 212.07 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $398.49 | 42.3 | 9.43 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $170.20 | 16.4 | 10.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $426.08 | 1.8 | 233.20 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $438.20 | 42.3 | 10.37 | Analyst | medium |