Flanigan's Enterprises Inc (BDL)
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$46.99+2.49%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BDL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 11.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
BDL — CEO transition
Dated 2026-01-12
multiple roles (COO, President, CFO, etc.) — August H. Bucci, James G. Flanigan II, Jeffrey D. Kastner, Christopher O’Neil, Allison Govoni, Peter Bruce: Multiple senior executives are transitioning into new roles within the company.
Why it matters: The CPI affects consumer spending and inflation. Changes could influence Flanigan's sales.
Watch forCPI shows a drop, which means lower inflation and possibly more consumer spending.
Also watch forCPI rises a lot, which means higher inflation that might cut consumer spending.
Why it matters: Higher personal income could lead to increased consumer spending. This would be positive for Flanigan's sales.
Supportive ifPersonal income growth exceeds 0.5% month over month.
Worry ifPersonal income growth falls below 0.1% month over month.
Why it matters: Retail sales data will show if consumers are spending more or less. This affects Flanigan's sales.
Watch forAdvance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth above 2% month over month.
Also watch forRetail sales growth is negative or below 0% month over month.
Why it matters: A higher GDP estimate may show better economic conditions. This could increase consumer spending and help Flanigan's.
Supportive ifGDP growth estimate is revised upward from the previous quarter.
Worry ifGDP growth estimate is revised downward.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$325 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $654 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,923 loss on $10,000 · 19.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This index affects costs for businesses. Changes could impact Flanigan's profit margins.
Watch forPPI shows a significant drop, indicating lower costs for goods and services.
Also watch forPPI rises sharply, suggesting increased costs that could hurt profit margins.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much people are spending. This affects Flanigan's performance. Strong sales mean higher demand.
Supportive ifRetail sales report shows growth above 3% year over year.
Worry ifRetail sales report shows decline or growth below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: PPI affects inflation and cost pressures. This can impact Flanigan's pricing strategies.
Watch forPPI shows an increase below 0.2% month over month, indicating stable prices.
Also watch forPPI shows an increase above 0.5% month over month, indicating rising costs.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the declining consumer sector. It could improve investor confidence in Flanigan's.
Supportive ifFlanigan's reports revenue growth above 0% year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifFlanigan's revenue continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: The unemployment rate affects how confident consumers feel. This changes how much they spend. It also impacts Flanigan's revenue.
Watch forWhen the unemployment rate drops below 4.5%, it shows job growth is getting stronger.
Also watch forIf the unemployment rate goes above 5%, it may mean the economy is getting weaker.