Bel Fuse, Inc. (BELFA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$154.76-11.15%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BELFA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -56.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 30 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BELFA — officer change
Dated 2026-05-28
Senior Vice President ITDS — Kenneth Lai: Mr. Lai's responsibilities are expanding to include the Company’s India and private label operations, leading to a change in his officer status.
Why it matters: Bel named Data Solutions and Industrials as Q3 growth drivers. Continued growth in these areas would support its growth plan.
Supportive ifBel reports sales growth from last year in both Data Solutions and Industrials in its next results.
Worry ifBel reports that either Data Solutions or Industrials sales fell year over year in its next results.
Why it matters: Bel raised $441.6 million and paid down $197.5 million of debt in Q2. Later reports can show how it uses the rest of the proceeds.
Supportive ifA later filing shows lower debt than at June 30, 2026, or confirms more debt was paid off.
Worry ifA later filing shows debt rose above its June 30, 2026 level, with no new debt paydown reported.
Why it matters: Bel said equity proceeds would help fund the remaining Enercon stake in early 2027. Closing would mark progress on that plan.
Supportive ifBel announces that it has closed the purchase of the remaining 20% of Enercon.
Worry ifBel reports that the purchase did not close, or announces a delay beyond early 2027.
Why it matters: Bel's Q3 gross margin rose to 40.9%, and its Q4 guide starts at 40.0%. A lower result would reverse that gain.
Worry ifBel reports Q4 2026 gross margin below 40.0%.
Less concerning ifBel reports Q4 2026 gross margin at or above 40.0%, within or above its guided range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$188 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $706 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,686 loss on $10,000 · 46.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Bel guided to Q4 sales of $220 million to $240 million. Sales below that range would break its strong recent growth run.
Worry ifBel reports Q4 2026 sales below $220 million.
Less concerning ifBel reports Q4 2026 sales of $220 million or more, within or above its guided range.