Bel Fuse, Inc. (BELFA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$202.42+0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BELFA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 61.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BELFA — officer change
Dated 2026-05-28
Senior Vice President ITDS — Kenneth Lai: Mr. Lai's responsibilities are expanding to include the Company’s India and private label operations, leading to a change in his officer status.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a shift in the sector's growth phase. This could impact Bel Fuse's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median value.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median value.
Why it matters: Maintaining or improving margins is key for profitability. It shows cost control and pricing power.
Supportive ifGross margin guidance is confirmed at 41% or higher.
Worry ifGross margin guidance drops below 39%.
Why it matters: Finishing defense contracts can increase revenue and trust in the industry.
Supportive ifTwo new defense design contracts in Europe are close to final certification.
Worry ifContracts may be delayed or fail to get certified.
Why it matters: Reducing debt helps the company’s finances. It also shows good use of money.
Supportive ifLong-term debt is reduced to zero as planned.
Worry ifLong-term debt stays the same or goes up.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$215 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $630 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,076 loss on $10,000 · 30.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Finishing the deal would boost Bel's skills. It would also improve their market position.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of finishing the deal for the last 20% of Enercon.
Worry ifDelay or failure to complete the acquisition.
Why it matters: Updates on realignment show how well the company adapts to market needs. This can impact growth.
Watch forManagement gives a clear update on how the new strategy is doing.
Also watch forNo news or bad comments about the progress of the strategic realignment.
Why it matters: Reducing debt is important for financial health. It helps with future growth chances.
Supportive ifThey announced more debt reduction. This is on top of the $197.5 million already paid.
Worry ifNo further debt reduction announced or increase in debt levels.
Why it matters: If it falls below this range, it shows weaker demand for defense and data solutions.
Worry ifQ3-26 sales guidance is below $205 million.
Less concerning ifQ3-26 sales guidance meets or exceeds $225 million.
Why it matters: A drop below this level may show cost pressures or inefficiencies.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 39% in Q3-26.
Less concerning ifGross margin remains at or above 41% in Q3-26.
Why it matters: This acquisition is important for Bel's growth and market position.
Supportive ifThe announcement confirms the purchase of the last 20% of Enercon.
Worry ifDelay or failure to complete the acquisition as planned.