BGSF Inc (BGSF)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.44+3.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BGSF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -61.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -27.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BGSF — earnings miss
Dated 2025-11-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2025, BGSF, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release regarding its financial results for the third fiscal quarter ended September 28, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in the press release and the related conference call, and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results is provided in the…
Why it matters: Updates on growth plans show how well BGSF is doing. Good news can help investors.
Watch forManagement gives a clear update on successful growth plans and their effect on revenue.
Also watch forManagement reports problems or slow progress on growth plans.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better cost control and improvements.
Supportive ifNet loss in Q3 is less than $0.8 million.
Worry ifNet loss in Q3 is greater than $0.8 million.
Why it matters: Growth in the PropTech sales funnel shows success in new markets.
Supportive ifManagement says the PropTech sales funnel has grown a lot.
Worry ifNo growth in the PropTech sales funnel is reported.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit BGSF's growth initiatives. A stronger sector can help improve BGSF's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding back up to 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 5%.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights on revenue growth and management's progress.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth of at least 5% compared to Q1.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue decline compared to Q1.
Why it matters: A rise in adjusted EBITDA shows progress. It means better profits and efficiency.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss narrows to less than $0.4 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss widens beyond $0.5 million.
Why it matters: Keeping low G&A expenses is important. It helps make more money and run better.
Supportive ifG&A expenses remain at or below the targeted $3.0 million run-rate for Q2 2026.
Worry ifG&A expenses exceed the targeted $3.0 million run-rate in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in cash reserves could mean financial trouble or not enough money for growth plans.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents remain above $9 million at the end of Q3.
Less concerning ifCash and cash equivalents drop below $9 million at the end of Q3.
Why it matters: If growth is higher, it shows management expects a strong third quarter. It also supports their growth plans.
Supportive ifIf Q3 revenue grows over 5% from last year, it shows strong demand and good strategies.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 5% year over year, suggesting ongoing challenges in demand.
Why it matters: PropTech revenue is growing fast. This shows good expansion and a strong sales pipeline.
Supportive ifPropTech service revenue shows a year-over-year increase of at least 10% in Q3.
Worry ifIf PropTech service revenue is flat or down from last year, it shows challenges.
Why it matters: Keeping SG&A costs low helps improve profits and makes operations more efficient.
Supportive ifSG&A costs were below $9 million in Q3, showing good cost control.
Worry ifSG&A costs went over $9 million in Q3. This suggests possible problems with cost management.
Why it matters: A new partnership would boost BGSF's skills and market position in PropTech.
Supportive ifA new partnership in PropTech was announced. This will expand the services offered.
Worry ifNo new partnerships were announced. This shows slow growth in PropTech efforts.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $449 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,103 loss on $10,000 · 41.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.