BGSF Inc (BGSF)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.46-11.96%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BGSF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -71.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -27.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BGSF — earnings miss
Dated 2025-11-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2025, BGSF, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release regarding its financial results for the third fiscal quarter ended September 28, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in the press release and the related conference call, and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results is provided in the…
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell 5.1% from a year earlier, due to fewer billable hours. A return to year-over-year growth would show demand improved.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $22.3 million and above Q3 2025 revenue, as reported in the November 4 results.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below Q3 2025 revenue, extending the year-over-year decline seen in Q2.
Why it matters: BGSF says its PropTech sales funnel is growing, but it has not shared PropTech revenue. Reported sales would show whether this effort is gaining traction.
Supportive ifBGSF reports PropTech revenue or names a paid client project in a quarterly release or filing.
Worry ifBGSF reports no PropTech revenue or paid project in its next two quarterly updates.
Why it matters: Q3 is usually BGSF’s strongest quarter. Revenue above Q2’s $22.3 million would support the stated full-year growth goal.
Supportive ifOn November 4, BGSF reports Q3 revenue above $22.3 million and keeps its low- to mid-single-digit 2026 growth goal.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is $22.3 million or less, or BGSF cuts its full-year growth goal.
Why it matters: BGSF still lost money from continuing operations in Q2. A positive adjusted EBITDA result would show that lower costs are helping.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is above $0, after a $0.3 million loss in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is a loss of $0.3 million or more.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$148 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $431 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,027 loss on $10,000 · 40.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.