Baker Hughes (BKR)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$46.20-7.36%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BKR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BKR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-16
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 15, 2026, Baker Hughes Holdings LLC (“BHH”), as borrower, and Baker Hughes, as parent guarantor, entered into (i) a term loan credit agreement (the “Bank of America Term Loan Credit Agreement”) with the lenders party thereto (the “Bank of America Lenders”) and Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent, with aggregate lending commitments of $1.0 billion for a senior, unsecured term loan facility and (ii) a term loan credit agreement (the…
Why it matters: IET's 20% margin goal is a key part of management's growth plan. A margin above that level would show the business is meeting it.
Supportive ifIET reports an EBITDA margin above 20% in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifIET reports an EBITDA margin below 18% in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: The sector signal says energy revenue is shrinking, but recent data hints at a change. Positive growth would support a stronger backdrop for Baker Hughes.
Watch forThe sector's three-year revenue growth turns positive.
Also watch forThe sector's three-year revenue growth stays at or below 0%.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026–2028 IET order outlook to $50 billion or more. More orders would add to the record backlog and future sales visibility.
Supportive ifReported IET orders for 2026–2028 reach at least $50 billion.
Worry ifReported IET orders for 2026–2028 fall below $45 billion.
Why it matters: Chart is newly part of Baker Hughes. Higher margins would show that its business is improving under the new owner.
Supportive ifChart reports an adjusted EBITDA margin near 17% for the second half of 2026.
Worry ifChart shows an adjusted EBITDA margin below 15% in the second half of 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$105 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $401 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,346 loss on $10,000 · 33.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Baker Hughes has begun combining the two businesses. Measured savings would show whether those steps are cutting costs.
Supportive ifBaker Hughes reports at least $325 million in annual savings from Chart by the end of year three.
Worry ifBaker Hughes reports less than $250 million in annual savings by the end of year three.