BlackLine Systems, Inc. (BL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$33.67-2.09%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, the Registrant issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Platform pricing ARR was 17% of eligible ARR in Q2, up from 13% in Q1. Further growth would show wider use of the platform pricing model.
Supportive ifPlatform pricing ARR is more than 17% of eligible ARR in a later quarterly report.
Worry ifPlatform pricing ARR is 17% or less of eligible ARR in a later quarterly report.
Why it matters: BlackLine set Q3 revenue guidance at $193 million to $195 million. Results below that range would show weaker growth than the company forecast.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $193 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 revenue is at least $193 million and within the $193 million to $195 million range.
Why it matters: Verity Prepare became broadly available in July. Direct sales and wider use would show that BlackLine's AI tools are gaining traction.
Supportive ifBlackLine reports direct revenue from Verity Prepare. A later quarterly update shows more customer use.
Worry ifBlackLine reports no direct revenue from Verity offerings. A later quarterly update shows no rise in customer use.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$163 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $591 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,711 loss on $10,000 · 57.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.