BlackRock (BLK)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1122.29-0.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BLK
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1,122 the market pays 22× p/e — above the 16× p/e peer median but in line with its own 22× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $997 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts target $1,140–$1,488. Note: our $997 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($1,140–$1,488). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $1351.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $635.84 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $678.52 | 1.9 | 351.30 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $190.62 | 13.5 | 14.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$1140.00 – $1488.00 (median $1351.50) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-08-10
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $815.11 |
| 13.2 |
| 61.79 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $538.28 | 3.2 | 165.80 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $1337.87 | 26.2 | 51.15 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $417.17 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1127.12 | 22.0 | 51.15 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $868.51 | 16.3 | 53.13 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $113.10 | 13.5 | 8.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1060.64 | 13.2 | 80.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $806.73 | 3.2 | 248.49 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $2034.73 | 26.2 | 77.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $1714.21 | 22.0 | 77.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1380.13 | 13.2 | 104.62 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1049.74 | 3.2 | 323.34 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $2690.94 | 26.2 | 102.88 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $2267.05 | 22.0 | 102.88 | Analyst | high |